The federal election is now under two weeks away and many ridings are still undecided, according to the latest polls from 338Canada.
Below are all Vancouver Island electoral districts and the latest polling data to show where these ridings votes may go:
Victoria
According to polls from 338Canada, the Victoria electoral District is currently leaning towards the Liberals.
As of this publication, the Liberals’ Will Greaves has a lead with 36% of the vote over The NDP’s Laurel Collins 30%, followed by the Conservative’s Angus Ross with 24% and the Green’s Michael Doherty with 7%.
Collins is the incumbent candidate for Victoria.
Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke
The Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke riding is a three-way toss up between the Liberals, Conservatives and NDP.
The Liberal’s Stephanie McLean and the Conservative’s Grant Cool are currently tied at 32% of the vote, with the NDP’s Maja Tait trailing slightly with 30% and the Green’s Ben Homer-Dixon trailing with 5%.
The riding is currently held by the NDP.
Saanich–Gulf Islands
At the time of this publication, the Saanich–Gulf Islands electoral district is a tossup between the Conservatives and Greens.
According to 338Canada, the Green’s co-leader Elizabeth May has a slight lead with 33% of the vote, the Conservative’s Cathie Ounsted is just behind her with 32%, the Liberal’s David Beckham is at 24% and the NDP’s Colin Plant is sitting at 9% of the vote.
The Green Party’s May is the incumbent candidate for Saanich–Gulf Islands.
Cowichan–Malahat–Langford
The Cowichan–Malahat–Langford riding is predicted to be a Conservative win, according to 338Canada’s latest polls.
The Conservative’s Jeff Kibble has a strong lead with 38% of the vote, while the NDP’s incumbent Alistair MacGregor is trailing with 29%, the Liberal’s Blair Herbert is just behind him at 27% and the Green’s Kathleen Code is trailing with just 4%.
The NDP’s MacGregor is the current sitting MP for Cowichan–Malahat–Langford.
Nanaimo–Ladysmith
As of this publication, the Nanaimo–Ladysmith electoral district is a tossup between the Greens and Conservatives.
The Conservative’s Tamara Kronis has a slight lead with 30% of the vote, the Green’s Paul Manly is just behind them with 27%, the Liberal’s Michelle Corfield has 23% and the NDP’s Lisa Marie Barron is trailing with 18%.
The NDP’s Marie Barron is the incumbent for Nanaimo–Ladysmith.
Courtenay–Alberni
338Canada’s polls suggest that the Conservatives will likely win the Courtenay–Alberni riding.
Currently, polls suggest that the Conservative’s Kris McNichol has 44% of the popular vote, the NDP’s Gord Johns has 32% of the vote, the Liberal’s Brian Cameron has 15% of the vote and the Green’s Chris Markevich is trailing with just 4%.
The NDP’s Johns is the incumbent candidate in Courtenay–Alberni.
North Island–Powell River
Last, but not least, 338Canada predicts that the North Island–Powell River electoral district will go to the Conservatives.
The Conservative’s controversial candidate Aaron Gunn is currently projected to get 46% of the vote, the NDP’s Tanille Johnston is next behind him at 26%, the Liberal’s Jennifer Lash has 21% and the Green’s Jessica Wegg is predicted to only garner 3% of the vote.
The NDP were the last to win this riding back in 2021.
To find out more about the candidates in the Greater Victoria area, click here.
