In the most recent polls from Research Co., a BC-based data analysis and survey firm, the BC NDP still lead in the polls, however, the Conservative Party of British Columbia is gaining traction.
Of all BC respondents to Research Co.’s latest survey, 37% said that if the election were to happen today, they would cast their vote for the BC NDPs.
Meanwhile, 34% of British Columbians said they would vote for the Conservatives, 9% said they would vote for the BC Green Party, 8% said they would vote for the BC United Party, 2% said they would vote for another party and 10% said they were undecided.
When it comes to confidence in how the party’s leaders have been doing their jobs thus far, below are the approval rate stats from the latest survey compared to those of last month’s poll:
- David Eby – BC NDP: 48% approval (down from 54% in June)
- Jon Rustad – Conservative Party of BC: 39% approval (down from 46% in June)
- Sonia Furstenau – BC Green Party: 35% approval (down from 38% in June)
- Kevin Falcon – BC United Party: 29% approval (down from 34% in June)
Related:
- Over 1,150 British Columbians dead from toxic drugs in first half of 2024
- Health Canada warns of critical error in Naloxone kits’ instruction cards
According to the survey, the five most important issues the leaders and their parties must address are housing/poverty/homelessness at 42%, healthcare at 21%, the economy/jobs at 14%, the environment at 6% and crime/public safety at 5%.
None of the statistics on important issues to British Columbians fluctuated much over the past month, each only rising or falling by between one and three points at most.
According to another polling aggregate site, 338 Canada, these projections are fairly in line with their own predictions.
338 Canada says that the BC NDPs are leading the polls with 40% of the vote, the Conservatives have 36% of the vote, the Greens have 11% and the BC United have 11% of the vote.
If these poll results were to be accurate, they would represent the BC NDP winning 54 seats (-1) in the legislature, the Conservatives would win 37 seats (+32), the Greens would win two seats (±0) and the BC United would win no seats (-23).
To win a majority government in BC, a party must win at least 47 seats.
According to 388 Canada, these seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The BC election will take place on October 19th with the parties and their leaders beginning their campaigns on September 21st.
